라벨이 fomc인 게시물 표시

Trump Receives FIFA Peace Award — Global Sentiment Shift and Market Implications for 2025

  Former U.S. President Donald Trump received the FIFA Peace Award , a symbolic recognition linked to international dialogue and sports diplomacy. While the award itself is not a political event nor a policy shift, global markets often respond to changes in geopolitical tone, soft-power signals, and cross-border cooperation narratives . For investors, the key is understanding how global sentiment changes affect risk appetite, capital flows, and sector trends . 1) Why the FIFA Peace Award Matters for Markets (Non-Political View) ✔ A shift in geopolitical tone can affect risk sentiment Awards tied to “peace,” “dialogue,” or “international cooperation” have historically coincided with: Short-term improvement in global market risk appetite Higher foreign investor inflows into emerging markets Lower volatility in currency and energy markets This does not rely on political alignment — it is simply how markets react to reduced perceived geopolitical friction . ✔ Sports...

Why the November FOMC Signals a Potential Fed Pivot in Early 2025

  Executive Summary The November FOMC meeting revealed the clearest hints yet of a potential Fed pivot in early 2025 . With inflation cooling, labor-market pressure easing, and forward guidance subtly shifting, global markets are pricing in an accelerated rate-cut timeline . This shift could reshape U.S. liquidity, global capital flows, and emerging-market risk premiums. 1. Key Insights The Fed’s tone shifted from “higher for longer” → “data-dependent easing.” Core PCE inflation is now moving firmly toward the 2% target. Bond markets are pricing 2–3 cuts in 2025 , earlier than previously expected. Financial conditions have tightened enough to substitute for further hikes. Global EM currencies may stabilize as U.S. rate-cut expectations strengthen. 2. What Changed After the November FOMC? 2.1 A Softer Tone from Powell For the first time in months, Powell emphasized that “the risks of doing too much and too little are becoming more balanced.” This is the cla...

이 블로그의 인기 게시물

Why SKIC Could Reshape U.S.–Korea Industrial Power in 2025

TPU 2025: Why Training Accelerators Will Reshape Global AI Infrastructure

Why the November FOMC Signals a Potential Fed Pivot in Early 2025